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Weaker finance context would test all emerging markets

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

These markets are benefitting from the softer US dollar and improved investor perceptions of central bank credibility. However, destabilising factors loom on the horizon.

Banking should be robust to tighter finance conditions

Location:

INT

A global slowdown will depress banks' income, while also compromising credit quality and demanding increased provision against losses. The flattening of the yield curve is also an…

Dollar funding squeeze will threaten indebted nations

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INTERNATIONAL

The Fed also released its ‘Beige book’ summary of economic conditions in the twelve Fed districts; all reported growth and higher consumer spending and expressed concerns about…

Climate needs and debt to hit lower-income states hard

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Debt distress is related to both global financial conditions -- such as the strength of the US dollar -- and growing climate vulnerabilities. Greater attention and funding to…

Fiscal risks worsen debt outlook in Argentina

Location:

ARGENTINA

The lifting of export taxes and the recession have already undermined the government's goal of reducing the fiscal deficit: in 2016 the primary deficit-to-GDP ratio will be even…

Commercial property unlikely to spark a global crisis

Location:

INT

The diversity of the asset class -- offices account for 17% of loans to commercial real estate, while the more resilient multifamily sector accounts for 44% -- and the illiquidity…

Evergrande turmoil to worry, not wreck, global markets

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INTERNATIONAL

Evergrande's troubles have increased concern about China's all-important housing market, as Beijing seems intent on reducing excessive leverage in the real-estate sector. Global…

Financial market volatility will linger and may worsen

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INTERNATIONAL

Equities, bonds, cash and gold all suffered outflows in the week ending May 11, according to data provider EPFR Global. More worryingly, the sell-off in equities has spread to the…

Turkish economic policy will be inconsistent to 2019

Location:

TURKEY

Economic policy to 2019.

Tech stocks will be resilient to China regulatory risk

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index -- a gauge of US-listed Chinese shares -- lost 22% in July, compared with the Nasdaq 100 Index gaining 3.5%. Beijing’s crackdown is unnerving…