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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 May 2023

The budget envisages an overall deficit of 7% of GDP, revised upwards from an earlier draft because of the effects of devaluation and higher interest rates on public debt…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279201

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 June 2023

The limited rate hike (annual core inflation is running at 47%) has undermined foreign investors’ hopes that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s new economic team would be free to…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280020

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 August 2023

The move has resulted in official rates depreciating sharply and converging with the parallel market rate; the spread has narrowed to just 16%. The change in policy means that the…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB281160

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 September 2023

Meanwhile, the government is struggling with significant accumulated debt, including USD11.8bn that is scheduled to be repaid to the IMF over the next two years alone. The IMF…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282002

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 July 2023

A move away from the US dollar is gaining momentum, driven by the West’s use of economic sanctions, high levels of sovereign debt and a desire to de-link monetary policy from the…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 25 March 2024

These aim for tighter CBN control over the parallel market. The CBN is also seeking to stabilise the currency through bond issuances, cryptocurrency crackdowns and other schemes.

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286045

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 25 September 2023

Like other fuel-importing countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), it has large structural fiscal and current account deficits. These have resulted in climbing…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 13 September 2023

This period was marked by two dramatic policy moves: the removal of a costly fuel subsidy and a major devaluation of the naira. Both moves are crucial for reforming Nigeria’s…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB281914

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 July 2023

The government has continued to absorb banks’ liquidity to close the fiscal deficit, with most private investors reluctant to finance the Treasury. The decline in demand for…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280606

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
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