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US semiconductor controls on China tighten

Location:

US

However, the new measures’ efficacy still depends on US regulators’ capacity to monitor and enforce the controls, which are generating significant pushback from foreign and…

Engaging with Afghanistan will get harder for West

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

This was a reference to criticism of Taliban rule by certain international players. While engagement between the emirate and the West remains limited, the Taliban are drawing…

Mexico will be a key player in US-China trade tensions

Location:

MEXICO

However, it appears to have done so in no small part due to geopolitics rather than the strength of its own economy. Chinese investments and Mexican imports of Chinese products…

Nepal’s new ruling coalition will be unstable

Location:

NEPAL

His Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist Centre) now has fewer governing partners. The reconfiguration included cutting ties with Sher Bahadur Deuba’s Nepali Congress, the largest…

Prospects for South-east Asia to end-2023

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2023

Regional players will meanwhile work hard to sustain robust economic growth and affirm ASEAN ‘centrality’.

South-east Asia may align more with China in near term

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…

Russia’s influence in Central Asia will wane

Location:

CENTRAL ASIA

During his meeting with his Kazakh counterpart Kassym-Jomart Tokayev in Astana, Putin called the two countries “not just allies, but very close allies”. A month earlier, Putin had…

China will dominate Iraq’s energy sector

Location:

IRAQ

Chinese companies have not only become the dominant players in the upstream oil and gas sector and the leading importers of Iraqi oil; they are also important forces in…

Thailand will pursue a more proactive foreign policy

Location:

THAILAND

Thailand is devoting more attention to foreign policy under Srettha. The fallout from the 2006 and 2014 coups adversely affected its foreign relations, but it retains an important…

Afghan Taliban will look past UN in seeking engagement

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

The Taliban were invited but refused to attend. There was no decision on appointing a UN special envoy for Afghanistan as mandated recently, although UN Secretary-General Antonio…