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Turkey's economic policy shift is not worth the risks

Location:

TURKEY

The lira’s collapse has only fortified President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s adherence to unorthodox low-interest-rate policies. Rather than changing course, Erdogan has publicly…

Weak lira will reflect Turkish election fears

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EUROPE/TURKEY

Increased uncertainty in financial markets, following the US Federal Reserve's decision in September to delay tightening monetary policy because of concerns about China's economy…

Prospects for emerging economies to end-2016

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PROSPECTS H2 2016

Prospects for emerging economies to end-2016.

Central European local investors will hold on to bonds

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CENTRAL EUROPE

The lira’s collapse is fuelling outflows from Turkey’s local currency government debt market, as foreign investors reduce their purchases of emerging market (EM) domestic debt…

EM corporate debt is key risk to global markets

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INTERNATIONAL

The IMF's warning, contained in its Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR), shows concerns for the vulnerabilities posed by the build-up of EM corporate debt, especially…

Policy concerns will keep Turkish lira under strain

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TURKEY

Mounting concerns that a faster-than-expected global economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic will spur inflation, forcing the leading central banks to signal an…

Turkey’s illiberal economic model will extend further

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TURKEY

Erdogan spoke with pride of imposing additional customs duties to protect domestic industries, cheapening credit and launching a national car project. Economic policies are…

China and 'Grexit' risks weigh on EMs globally

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INTERNATIONAL

This month, 3 trillion dollars had been wiped off the value of all listed companies since a seven-year high on June 12, undermining confidence in the government's ability to steer…

Turkey’s stock market is set to be highly volatile

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TURKEY

Local investors have used Turkey’s stock market as a hedge against the country’s runaway inflation and government attempts to 'lira-ise' the economy. The market's strong…

Ukraine war will hurt Turkey’s economy

Location:

TURKEY

The conflict in Ukraine is a threat to Turkey’s economy. The lira has weakened again, which will push inflation above 60%. Ankara has condemned Moscow’s invasion but is seeking…