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Smaller trade surplus will keep ruble low this year

Location:

RUSSIA

Pronounced ruble depreciation this year attests to the efficacy of sanctions in disrupting Russia’s external trade. The weaker ruble has already provoked a spike in household…

Turkish markets will suffer fallout from failed coup

Location:

TURKEY

S&P is concerned that the political fallout from the failed July 15-16 military coup will make it more difficult for the country to meet its large external financing requirements…

Political pressure on Turkey's Central Bank will go on

Location:

TURKEY

The CBRT is expected to respond at its regular monthly interest rate-setting meeting to the fall in inflation in January to 7.2%. However, while the nearly 50% slide in oil…

Hungarian forint is increasingly vulnerable to attack

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

Central banks’ policy dilemmas.

Risks will outweigh recovery chances in Eastern Europe

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

The economic environment has been dictated by Russia’s war in Ukraine and its market and policy implications. Next year, the prospects for the V4 economies are moderately upbeat…

Exogenous risks loom over Indonesia’s foreign debt

Location:

INDONESIA

Outlook for Indonesia's foreign debt distress.

Dollar trend to shape EM hard currency corporate debt

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Outlook for EM hard currency corporate debt.

Sound finances will help Russia navigate dual shocks

Location:

RUSSIA

The collapse in commodity prices, above all oil, plus the impact of an extended lockdown have depressed Russia's exports, investment and consumption. The economic prospects could…

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2016

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2016

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2016.

Prospects for the global economy in 2016

Location:

PROSPECTS 2016

Prospects for the global economy in 2016.