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Exit talks may not clarify future UK-EU relationship

Location:

EU/UNITED KINGDOM

Prime Minister Theresa May has committed herself to triggering Article 50 by the end of March 2017. No member state has made use of Article 50 and there is thus much uncertainty…

Italy's public debt will rise despite on-track deficit

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ITALY

A Constitutional Court ruling outlawing the 2012 pension reform highlighted the risks of significant deviations from austerity policies. However, even with a budget deficit of 3…

Romanian fiscal and external deficits will remain wide

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ROMANIA

Romania is among the member states liable to the EDP. Although its debt is relatively low at 47.9% of GDP, Romania has wide budget and current account deficits, yet its tax-to-GDP…

Prospects for the euro-area in 2023

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PROSPECTS 2023

Prospects for the euro-area in 2023.

‘No deal’ Brexit could become more likely

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EU/UK

A ‘no deal’ outcome from the negotiations would have massively disruptive effects on both sides of the Channel.

Remittances are both a vital prop and risk for Ukraine

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UKRAINE

Labour remittances and the Ukrainian economy.

Ireland will wait until Brexit for an election

Location:

IRELAND

Irish government performance.

Brexit will continue to undercut UK public policy

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UNITED KINGDOM

UK public policy.

Government may water down Greek pension reform

Location:

GREECE

Pension reform is a critical compliance requirement for the Greek authorities with the 'quadriga' of creditors -- ECB, European Commission, European Stability Mechanism and IMF -…

Prospects for US politics to end-2018

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PROSPECTS H2 2018

Prospects for US politics to end-2018