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Balkan emigration will go on without better governance

Location:

BALKANS

The protests highlight the deep dissatisfaction that has led hundreds of thousands to leave Serbia and other Western Balkan countries over the past decade. Motives driving…

Migrant-averse Central-Eastern Europe will lose growth

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EUROPE

Looming demographic decline in Central-Eastern Europe.

Cuba unrest will be muted despite economic woes

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CUBA

Economic recovery is nevertheless weak, marked by a liquidity crisis, shortages and inflation. Monetary reform has not stabilised the Cuban peso and, while a heavy-handed response…

Foreign ties may help to alleviate Cuba’s crises

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CUBA

International relations may provide some respite. Recent visits by President Miguel Diaz-Canel to Algiers, Moscow, Istanbul and Beijing prompted several gestures that should ease…

South Africa health plan will fuel chronic uncertainty

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SOUTH AFRICA

However, despite being a formal government policy goal since the ruling ANC’s 2007 national conference -- and the subject of extensive critical debate and public consultation…

Ireland’s Varadkar will face daunting challenges

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IRELAND

Varadkar’s Fine Gael (FG) has been in coalition with Fianna Fail (FF) and the Greens since 2020; they agreed that Varadkar would replace FF leader Micheal Martin as taoiseach…

Energy crisis may spur reforms in Cuba

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CUBA

The fire has exacerbated electricity black-outs amid widespread shortages of food and other basic items. The government response to the crisis has so far included opening up…

Costa’s victory strengthens stability in Portugal

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PORTUGAL

The PS has led the previous two governments, but this result means Costa will lead a majority government for the first time and thus will no longer require support from radical…

Georgian election leaves legacy of division

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GEORGIA

Georgia's opposition refuses to accept the October 31 election result. While the government will use the visit as evidence of solid US support, its critics will scrutinise…

Poorer middle class is a constraint on Russian growth

Location:

RUSSIA

One study suggests that 1.5 million middle-class people lost their jobs in 2020. Despite government assistance programmes to keep employees in work and ease home-buying, the…