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Parallel imports continue to support Russia’s economy

Location:

RUSSIA

Parallel imports have played a crucial role in securing the supply of goods for the Russian economy. The creation and management of parallel import channels is now an important…

Russia will struggle to expand West Africa gold mining

Location:

WEST AFRICA

More recently, this has involved widely publicised claims that Russia is skirting international sanctions by using African gold from mines seized by proxy forces to help finance…

Russia will target expanded BRICS for grain exports

Location:

RUSSIA

The entry into BRICS of Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) -- all major importers of grain -- gives Russia an opportunity permanently to…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

East Europeans will gain influence on Western security

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EUROPE

She implied that the role should go to someone from Central-Eastern Europe (CEE). Von der Leyen’s message emphasises how far the balance in decision-making on European security…

Belarusian economic recovery may not last

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BELARUS

At first glance, the economic performance observed last year seems impressive. However, the robust growth rate concealed many of the country's endemic economic flaws. Much of the…

Russian LNG sales will be stymied by a lack of tankers

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RUSSIA

Russia’s gas export strategy is predicated on the rapid growth of liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports. Following the collapse of pipeline gas sales to Europe, Russia’s plans to…

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

Location:

RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

Russian foreign influencer campaigns are evolving

Location:

INT

In recent months, multiple European intelligence services have issued warnings of increased efforts by Russian state organisations to undermine social cohesion in Europe via…

Russia will exploit tension but will not encourage war

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia maintains a delicate balance in the Middle East, preserving a close relationship with Shia-majority Iran and a security presence in neighbouring Syria while seeking…