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Prospects for the emerging economies in 2020

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PROSPECTS 2020

Prospects for the emerging economies in 2020.

More protectionism leads to less macroeconomic output

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INTERNATIONAL

The US administration has withdrawn from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), threatened punitive tariffs against several trading partners and started renegotiating the North…

Central Asian states face high climate change risks

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CENTRAL ASIA

Climate change in Central Asia.

US sanctions on Russia ratchet up with limited impact

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RUSSIA

The state of US sanctions against Russia.

Price cap will bite into Russian oil output in 2023

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RUSSIA

Russia has lost almost all its customers in Europe, which bought 48% of its crude exports by volume last year. To compensate, it has been sending more crude to Asian markets in…

Humanitarian and social pressures will rise in Iran

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IRAN

US sanctions are nevertheless causing major difficulties for importers. Even for trade that is technically exempt from sanctions, notably food and medicines, a lack of financial…

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2022

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PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2022.

Russian oil supply cut would hit Central Europe hard

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EASTERN EUROPE

Flows resumed within days, but the sudden cut-off -- ascribed to overdue transit payments -- highlights Central Europe’s dependence on Russian oil imports and the difficulty of…

Iraq to boost oil and gas, but not end Iran reliance

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IRAQ

The government is pressing ahead with key developments in the energy sector. These include attempts to boost electricity supply and reduce dependence on Iranian gas and power.

Russian recession will blunt Central Asian growth

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CIS

Russia's economic problems caused by the low price of oil and to a lesser extent Western sanctions are a challenge for Kazakhstan and the four other Central Asian states. In its…