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Peace in Ethiopia’s Tigray region remains fragile

Location:

ETHIOPIA

The meeting comes amid escalating rhetoric over the failure to implement key aspects of the agreement, and warnings of the risk of famine and even the potential for renewed…

Rising Russian investment will cause structural change

Location:

RUSSIA

The war in Ukraine, Western sanctions and the redirection of external trade away from Europe towards new partners all required a surge in investment. The bulk of new investment…

Zambia edges towards a resolution of its debt crisis

Location:

ZAMBIA

The deal also appears to have satisfied official creditors, which had blocked an earlier deal on the basis that it granted bondholders more favourable terms than official…

Drought will add to Zambia’s economic and debt crisis

Location:

ZAMBIA

ZAMBIA: Drought will add to economic and debt crisis

Tourism to drive Belize economic growth amid slowdown

Location:

BELIZE

Real GDP surged by 15% in 2021 and 12% in 2022, then by 4% in 2023. With inflation easing, risks of social instability have probably fallen over the past year, but growth looks…

South Africa mining slump hurts ANC election campaign

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

The timing is disastrous for the ruling ANC party, which faces elections in May with its support already crumbling, in part due to its poor performance on economic issues. Major…

El Salvador poverty will create problems for Bukele

Location:

EL SALVADOR

President Nayib Bukele is highly popular, having implemented hard-line security policies that have reduced murder rates dramatically. He was re-elected in February by a landslide…

Iran will temporise over the broken pensions system

Location:

IRAN

The country’s system of pension funds has long been close to bankruptcy, but awareness of the urgency of the issue has increased over the past year. Nonetheless, proposed pension…

Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict may be protracted

Location:

ETHIOPIA

Following an extension of the state of emergency in February, new army offensives, including around the regional capital, Bahir Dar, have intensified the conflict. Reports of…

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

Location:

RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…