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Georgia will face serious obstacles to EU membership

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GEORGIA

Georgia officially embarked on the path to EU membership along with Ukraine and Moldova shortly after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Despite Tbilisi not meeting the…

Papua New Guinea instability will increase

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PAPUA NEW GUINEA

Marape's government is attempting to manage growing political fallout from widespread rioting in January, economic dislocation arising from fuel shortages and a spiralling…

Peace in Ethiopia’s Tigray region remains fragile

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ETHIOPIA

The meeting comes amid escalating rhetoric over the failure to implement key aspects of the agreement, and warnings of the risk of famine and even the potential for renewed…

Yemen’s anti-Huthi front is unlikely to regain force

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YEMEN

The PLC is deeply divided, and economic conditions are deteriorating. There is no indication of improved governance in the southern areas of Yemen that it holds, despite the…

Early Argentine economic successes are unsustainable

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ARGENTINA

The government has posted the first fiscal surplus in years, inflation has declined and foreign currency reserves have risen from USD21.0bn in mid-December to USD28.5bn. However…

Peru cabinet reshuffle will bring little policy change

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PERU

Boluarte has reshuffled some key cabinet posts, including the portfolios of defence, economy and finance, and energy and mines. The main purpose of the changes is to shore up…

Gulf legislatures will fail to boost their authority

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GULF STATES

The functions, authorities and memberships of those bodies, however, vary widely. The development of each depended on the real or perceived threat of political opposition, the…

Kremlin will tighten control over information space

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RUSSIA

This has enabled the leadership to manage vulnerabilities ahead of a vote intended to legitimise President Vladimir Putin's continued rule. However, the authorities’ efforts to…

Honeymoon period of Panama’s Mulino will be brief

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PANAMA

Mulino assumed the candidacy late in the race, after former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-14) was disqualified over a corruption conviction. The new president will face…

Turkey will face a long-term refugee problem

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TURKEY

The EU has committed billions of euros to help Turkey deal with the impact of those refugees, but EU auditors said on April 24 that they could not determine the impact of that…