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Georgia will face serious obstacles to EU membership

Location:

GEORGIA

Georgia officially embarked on the path to EU membership along with Ukraine and Moldova shortly after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Despite Tbilisi not meeting the…

New Brazil industrial plan will face uncertainties

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BRAZIL

The plan covers six priority areas: agro-industry, health, infrastructure and mobility, digital transformation, bio-economy and defence. Most of the BRL300bn (USD60bn) in…

Yemen’s anti-Huthi front is unlikely to regain force

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YEMEN

The PLC is deeply divided, and economic conditions are deteriorating. There is no indication of improved governance in the southern areas of Yemen that it holds, despite the…

Rising Russian investment will cause structural change

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RUSSIA

The war in Ukraine, Western sanctions and the redirection of external trade away from Europe towards new partners all required a surge in investment. The bulk of new investment…

Algeria will pursue stronger ties in the Sahel

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ALGERIA

In February, President Abdelmadjid Tebboune announced that Algeria is planning free trade zones with Niger and Mali, despite increasingly volatile ties with the latter. That same…

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

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RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

China’s defence spending will remain stable

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CHINA

Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…

Algiers will be wary of dynamics in the south

Location:

ALGERIA

The region has nonetheless seen waves of protests and some inter-communal clashes and terrorism over the past decade and more. Moreover, there are strong grievances in the south…