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EU-Swiss institutional framework progress will be slow

Location:

EU/SWITZERLAND

Without a dispute settlement mechanism in Swiss-EU relations, Switzerland has no legal leverage to defend its rights. Ironically, such a mechanism is the most controversial…

EU-Turkey migrant deal is unlikely to succeed

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EU/TURKEY

The essence of the deal is that Turkey has agreed to take back migrants who arrive on Greek islands or are intercepted on the Aegean as of yesterday. In exchange, the EU has…

Turkey will claim larger share of Balkan gas markets

Location:

BULGARIA/TURKEY/BALKANS

Turkish state-owned utility BOTAS has a supply contract with Bulgargaz which also includes access to the Bulgarian grid. It is in position to resell Russian gas to customers in…

EU-Swiss deal unlikely in the near future

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EU/SWITZERLAND

EU-Swiss impasse.

Exit talks may not clarify future UK-EU relationship

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EU/UNITED KINGDOM

Prime Minister Theresa May has committed herself to triggering Article 50 by the end of March 2017. No member state has made use of Article 50 and there is thus much uncertainty…

Hungary must make real changes to unlock EU funds

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HUNGARY/EU

The first triggering of the EU’s rule-of-law mechanism and the possibility of losing billions of euros as Hungary teeters on the brink of recession have put the government under…

EU-Poland dispute will shift to one about sovereignty

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EU/POLAND

They gave no details. Grants and loans worth EUR35.4bn (USD36.1bn) are blocked over a row over divergent interpretations of the rule of law (RoL). EU flexibility in dealing with…

EU climate policy to face challenges beyond COP21

Location:

EU

Having tabled a relatively ambitious offer for COP21, the EU is seeking to recover its leading role in tackling climate change at the global level.

An EU-UK transition period will be hard to negotiate

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EU/UK

The implicit assumption, that it will be relatively straightforward to negotiate a transition period to bridge the gap between the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the EU and the…

Prospects for the EU in 2018

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PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for the EU in 2018.