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Prospects for the EU in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

Two of the most pressing issues will be reforms to EU fiscal rules and Poland's challenge to the primacy of EU law.

Swedish policies will be influenced by far-right party

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SWEDEN

SD, previously a pariah, increased its vote share to 20.5%, from 17.5% in 2018. It is the largest rightist party in a bloc that has a three-seat majority. The centre-right parties…

Turkey will claim larger share of Balkan gas markets

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BULGARIA/TURKEY/BALKANS

Turkish state-owned utility BOTAS has a supply contract with Bulgargaz which also includes access to the Bulgarian grid. It is in position to resell Russian gas to customers in…

EU supply chain law faces major obstacles in Germany

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EU/GERMANY

The vote was lost following Germany’s decision to oppose the directive, which encouraged others to abstain. There are only a few weeks left for the Council to vote again on the…

EU threatens Slovakia with rule-of-law sanctions

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EASTERN EUROPE

The EU has warned Slovakia that it could face fines or blocked EU funds over concerns that the government’s judicial reforms, particularly those protecting politicians from…

Hungarian Fidesz illiberalism will defy EU criticism

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HUNGARY

The EP vote could in theory lead to sanctions under Article 7 of the EU Treaty (TEU). An 'illiberal state' has emerged in Hungary since 2010, profoundly and durably modifying the…

UK regulatory agenda will increase risks for business

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UNITED KINGDOM

The bill would make it easier for the government to amend, replace or repeal retained EU law, which is legislation that remained on the UK statute book after the United Kingdom…

Ireland will look to expand its international reach

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IRELAND

Ireland's foreign policy.

2020 will be important for Swiss-EU relations

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SWITZERLAND/EU

There are concerns in Switzerland that the IFA would undermine its sovereignty, reduce wages and subject Swiss businesses to greater competition. A referendum on ending…

London may seek to slow UK-EU regulatory divergence

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UK/EU

The bill lays down that all EU-derived ‘secondary’ legislation be reviewed or revoked by the end of 2023. The bill encapsulates consecutive Conservative governments' efforts to…