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Prospects for the global economy in 2018

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PROSPECTS 2018

PROSPECTS 2018: Global economy

The international strength of the euro will grow

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EU

The proposals identified areas where the euro could potentially become more dominant, such as the issuance of green bonds, digital currencies, and international trade in raw…

Trade and tech uncertainty will boost ‘safer’ assets

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INTERNATIONAL

US President Donald Trump’s decision last month to intensify the US-China conflict by raising the tariff rate and targeting Chinese tech firms is straining stock markets and…

Prospects for the global economy to end-2018

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PROSPECTS H2 2018

Global economy prospects.

EU green ambitions are strongly reflected in budget

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EU

Overall, some 30% of the budget will involve climate-related spending. One of the key reforms concerns the EU’s own resources mechanism to finance spending, with plans to…

Prospects for the EU in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

Two of the most pressing issues will be reforms to EU fiscal rules and Poland's challenge to the primacy of EU law.

Prospects for the euro-area in 2020

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PROSPECTS 2020

Prospects for the euro-area in 2020.

German economic model faces growing challenges

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GERMANY

Pressures on Germany to reform its economic model.

Draghi's government promises some hope for Italy

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ITALY

Except for the far-right Brothers of Italy (FdI), all the main parties are part of the government, thus giving Draghi significant political support as he prepares to tackle…

Italy’s China policy is becoming more hard-line

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ITALY/CHINA

However, since then, Rome has become increasingly hawkish over China, a shift which has intensified under Prime Minister Mario Draghi’s period in office. Draghi has already…