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Ethiopia's national dialogue faces deep divisions

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ETHIOPIA

The process has so far been mired by delays, leadership issues, capacity concerns and, crucially, a lack of confidence among key stakeholders. These notably include Oromo…

Ethiopian conflict may intensify rather than ease

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ETHIOPIA

Although Demeke also referenced the possibility of resolving Ethiopia’s conflicts through a national dialogue, the government’s wider rhetoric and military build-up instead signal…

Ethiopia may fail to deliver on transitional justice

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ETHIOPIA

The policy includes some changes from the justice ministry’s initial draft, most significantly the removal of a proposal for a special court to prosecute the most serious crimes…

Jawar’s return may shake up Ethiopian politics

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ETHIOPIA

This was the first time Jawar had spoken out since his release from prison in January, a silence that fed speculation he had struck a deal with Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s…

Ethiopia’s momentum towards peace remains fragile

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ETHIOPIA

These included high-profile opposition leaders Jawar Mohammed and Bekele Gerba of the Oromo Federalist Congress and Eskinder Nega from Balderas for True Democracy, alongside…

End of Ethiopia’s emergency will not ease poll tension

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ETHIOPIA

Meanwhile, the state of emergency declared in relation to COVID-19 formally lapsed on September 6. This could pave the way for postponed national elections to be held in 2021 but…

Lull in violence offers hope for end to Ethiopia’s war

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ETHIOPIA

Following a recent federal offensive, Tigrayan forces have largely withdrawn from neighbouring Amhara and Afar regions and federal authorities have said they will not pursue them…

Ethiopia’s relations with the West will remain tense

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ETHIOPIA

This came amid speculation that Ethiopia may be trying to subvert international efforts to ensure accountability for human rights abuses committed during the conflict.

Disunity among critics will aid South Sudan government

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SOUTH SUDAN

Two years after the peace agreement, South Sudan is still at war -- and political, security, humanitarian and economic conditions are dire. Nevertheless, the balance of power…

Ethiopia’s civil war may unravel regional geopolitics

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ETHIOPIA

It has also seriously damaged Ethiopia’s international and regional political standing, weakening Addis Ababa’s position in the trilateral talks with Egypt and Sudan over the…