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Renminbi reform will not allay suspicions

Location:

CHINA

Beijing's abrupt reform of its exchange rate regime on August 11 led to an immediate sharp devaluation, but is also broadly consistent with giving market forces a greater role in…

Russia spillover, low oil price will challenge Astana

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KAZAKHSTAN

The slowing down of Kazakhstan's economy continues against a background of slow global growth, the turbulent economic situation in Russia and low oil prices. Lower-than-projected…

Economic policy pressures will endure in Bolivia

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BOLIVIA

This has been only partially successful. International loan drawdowns may help the situation in the short term, but the government is having to revise some long-established policy…

Smaller trade surplus will keep ruble low this year

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RUSSIA

Pronounced ruble depreciation this year attests to the efficacy of sanctions in disrupting Russia’s external trade. The weaker ruble has already provoked a spike in household…

New Egyptian central bank chief faces currency crisis

Location:

EGYPT

The previous governor, Tarek Amer, departed on August 17 after seven years in post. Though credited with the flotation of the Egyptian pound in 2016, he often attracted criticism…

Fed hike will hit South-east Asian liquidity and debt

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

Implications of a US rates hike for South-east Asian economies.

Long-term challenges cloud Ethiopia’s economic reforms

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ETHIOPIA

Outlook for Ethiopia's economic reforms.

China's woes will hit South-east Asia's economies

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

China's currency depreciation and the effect on South-east Asian economies.

Egypt will face multiple risks in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

This will make for a challenging start of President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi’s third term, after he is inevitably re-elected in December this year. Meanwhile, the government will also…

China supplants Fed as main risk to EMs

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

While futures markets are assigning a 28% probability to a rate hike this month, emerging markets (EMs) are likely to remain under strain regardless of whether the Fed tightens…