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Embalo may seek to destabilise PAIGC in Guinea-Bissau

Location:

GUINEA-BISSAU

GUINEA-BISSAU: Embalo may seek to destabilise PAIGC

Election tensions threaten South Sudan's stability

Location:

SOUTH SUDAN

However, in a context of low trust and weak institutions, the move towards elections increases the risk of violence before, during and after the polls.

Ruling parties will largely win 2024 African elections

Location:

AFRICA

This was the first in a series of major presidential elections in Africa scheduled for this year, some of which will also face serious legitimacy concerns. Few are expected to…

Algiers will be wary of dynamics in the south

Location:

ALGERIA

The region has nonetheless seen waves of protests and some inter-communal clashes and terrorism over the past decade and more. Moreover, there are strong grievances in the south…

Kremlin will tighten control over information space

Location:

RUSSIA

This has enabled the leadership to manage vulnerabilities ahead of a vote intended to legitimise President Vladimir Putin's continued rule. However, the authorities’ efforts to…

Gaza overspill is a possible risk to Balkan security

Location:

BALKANS

After an incident in late September that left one Kosovar police officer and three Serbian gunmen dead, the dispute over Kosovo’s sovereignty has become more dangerous, prompting…

Opposition schism will benefit Zambia’s ruling party

Location:

ZAMBIA

Many PF leaders have rejected Sampa’s election, which could precipitate a damaging split, especially now that former President Edgar Lungu (2015-21) has announced his return to…

Prospects for coups in Africa in 2024

Location:

PROSPECTS 2024

However, the lack of effective electoral planning and announced delays have raised questions about their sincerity. Moreover, the recent spate of coups -- nine successful military…