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Turkey's president will seek constitutional reforms

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TURKEY

The Court of Cassation has refused to honour a Constitutional Court ruling and ordered a criminal investigation into its members. After local elections on March 31, Erdogan will…

Belarus will remain a dictatorship after Lukashenka

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BELARUS

Lukashenka has constructed a highly centralised and authoritarian system built on strong relations with Moscow. However, hopes for a more democratically inclined successor are…

Fast Ecuador security wins stoke longer-term issues

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ECUADOR

He declared a state of emergency on January 9, giving the military a central role in tackling the crisis. The militarisation of security policy has reduced crime and increased…

Albanian premier faces tough year ahead of elections

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ALBANIA

The PD has started healing some of the rifts that have divided it for nearly three years. Nevertheless, Prime Minister Edi Rama’s Socialist Party (PS) is favourite to win…

Sweeping Argentina reforms will risk more instability

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ARGENTINA

The move followed a sweeping decree issued on December 20 to reform or eliminate some 300 laws governing economic, labour and social issues, and which has already prompted…

Radical nationalists could upset new Slovak government

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SLOVAKIA

Incoming Prime Minister Robert Fico’s gradual adoption of nationalism, aversion to migration and conspiracy theories have jeopardised Slovakia’s reputation as a reliable partner…

Iraqi provincial polls will boost incumbent control

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IRAQ

The vote will reinstate provincial councils that were dissolved in 2019, which will in turn choose new provincial governors. The government is determined to hold an effective…

Argentina stabilisation plan will prove challenging

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ARGENTINA

With Milei now predicting six months of stagflation and up to two years to reduce inflation from triple digits, dollarisation appears to have been shelved. Instead, he seems…

Iraqi Kurdish election divisions will erode autonomy

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IRAQ

Tensions have risen over the past year between the ruling Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), due to disagreements over the electoral law…

Paraguay's Pena will face major governance challenges

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PARAGUAY

His inaugural speech displayed commitment to a right-wing economic strategy and pro-US foreign policy. However, it omitted two potential threats to governance: renegotiation of…