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China set for near-5% growth amid imbalances and risks

Location:

CHINA

Quarter-on-quarter growth accelerated to 1.6%, from 1.2% previously. A 6% year-on-year expansion in the secondary sector -- manufacturing and construction -- led the growth, while…

Turkey will reduce inflation gradually

Location:

TURKEY

Although the central bank has increased interest rates substantially since June 2023, the effects on economic activity and inflation have been limited. Prices and policy…

El Salvador poverty will create problems for Bukele

Location:

EL SALVADOR

President Nayib Bukele is highly popular, having implemented hard-line security policies that have reduced murder rates dramatically. He was re-elected in February by a landslide…

Rising Russian investment will cause structural change

Location:

RUSSIA

The war in Ukraine, Western sanctions and the redirection of external trade away from Europe towards new partners all required a surge in investment. The bulk of new investment…

Guatemalan-US ties will continue to strengthen

Location:

GUATEMALA/US

Support from Washington helped President Bernardo Arevalo take power in January, resetting relations after a period of strain under former President Alejandro Giammattei…

Peru's growth will remain sluggish this year

Location:

PERU

The economy is increasingly dependent on the mining sector and on mineral sales to China. The domestic economy remains hampered by depressed internal demand.

Religious freedom will slowly expand in Vietnam

Location:

VIETNAM

Catholics are a sizeable minority religious group in the country, numbering roughly 7 million out of a population of nearly 100 million. Vietnam and the Vatican have not had…

End of post-1945 economic order bodes ill for growth

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The system of international institutions to promote cooperation and open trade was built on the political preferences of a group of the world's wealthiest states. Over time, the…

Brazil renewables will gain priority amid challenges

Location:

BRAZIL

Brazil has one of the cleanest energy matrixes in the world by international standards. However, the production of oil and oil derivatives continues to grow, and the country is…

Mexico will be a key player in US-China trade tensions

Location:

MEXICO

However, it appears to have done so in no small part due to geopolitics rather than the strength of its own economy. Chinese investments and Mexican imports of Chinese products…