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Water woes will have multiple impacts in Peru

Location:

PERU

As well as exposure to the El Nino phenomenon, Peru is one of the Latin American countries most susceptible to climate change. Erratic rainfall patterns threaten agriculture…

Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict may be protracted

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ETHIOPIA

Following an extension of the state of emergency in February, new army offensives, including around the regional capital, Bahir Dar, have intensified the conflict. Reports of…

Gaza overspill is a possible risk to Balkan security

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BALKANS

After an incident in late September that left one Kosovar police officer and three Serbian gunmen dead, the dispute over Kosovo’s sovereignty has become more dangerous, prompting…

EU defence ambitions face constraints

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EU

Their objectives are to enhance EU cooperation and self-sufficiency in the areas of arms production and procurement, in order to make the EU more resilient in defence and enhance…

Bhutan’s new government may find itself stretched thin

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BHUTAN

The People’s Democratic Party (PDP) was the winner. Poll campaigning was dominated by debate over the economic headwinds facing the small Himalayan kingdom, which lies between…

Gaza will strain but not break Gulf-Iranian detente

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GULF STATES

While tensions across the region have risen sharply, Gulf and Iranian officials have engaged in regular and high-level dialogue that has so far prevented a wider conflagration…

Nepal’s new ruling coalition will be unstable

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NEPAL

His Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist Centre) now has fewer governing partners. The reconfiguration included cutting ties with Sher Bahadur Deuba’s Nepali Congress, the largest…

South-east Asia may align more with China in near term

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SOUTH-EAST ASIA

A key finding is that 50.5% of respondents would pick China if forced to take sides in US-Chinese rivalry, up from 38.9% in 2023. China continues to be regarded as the most…

Plans for North African unity could be short-lived

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NORTH AFRICA

On April 22, Tunisian President Kais Saied hosted his Algerian counterpart, Abdelmadjid Tebboune, and the head of Libya’s Presidential Council, Mohammed al-Menfi, for a trilateral…

Somalia and Turkey may struggle to realise oil deal

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SOMALIA/TURKEY

The deal builds on the recent ten-year agreement on maritime defence cooperation. Somalia is believed to have significant onshore and offshore oil and gas potential. However…