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Ukraine war will hurt Turkey’s economy

Location:

TURKEY

The conflict in Ukraine is a threat to Turkey’s economy. The lira has weakened again, which will push inflation above 60%. Ankara has condemned Moscow’s invasion but is seeking…

Cheap oil will not bridge Turkey's external gap

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey's external balances in 2016.

Ethiopia’s Tigray crisis puts privatisations at risk

Location:

ETHIOPIA

However, amid ongoing conflict in Tigray and considerable political uncertainty around the upcoming elections, the outcome may be disappointing.

Ethiopia faces tough monetary and fiscal rebalancing

Location:

ETHIOPIA

Numerous domestic and external shocks have rocked the macroeconomic environment in recent years, aggravating high inflation and chronic foreign exchange (forex) shortages…

Beirut may miss out on brighter growth prospects

Location:

LEBANON

The wage scale law was cast into question when a contentious tax hike law intended to fund it was annulled by the Constitutional Council on September 22, partly on the grounds…

Syrian currency collapse will drive food shortages

Location:

SYRIA

The Syrian pound's exchange rate fell by 40% in the first week of June before recovering slightly. After nine years of ruinous conflict, the struggling economy has been brought to…

Civil-military dynamic will fuel Myanmar’s crisis

Location:

MYANMAR

The military continues to crack down heavily on anti-coup protesters. Its leaders have long regarded civil society as a threat to Myanmar’s unity and security.

Russia will trap foreign investors in a gilded cage

Location:

RUSSIA

Foreign investors seeking to leave Russia face several serious challenges. One is Russian government legislation that imposes onerous losses on those who exit. Another is that…

War in Ukraine will impel Kazakhstan to diversify

Location:

KAZAKHSTAN

Kazakhstan’s economy has weathered well the turbulences created by the war in Ukraine. A new context for the country’s traditional aspirations to balance and diversify economic…

Myanmar junta may weaken but will not make concessions

Location:

MYANMAR

ASEAN’s ‘Five-Point Consensus’ plan to ease the fallout from the 2021 coup shows no signs of making progress, and Cambodia -- the group’s 2022 chair -- has stopped advocating…