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Street pressures will erode elite cohesion in Cuba

Location:

CUBA

The government is nevertheless shaken. Protests were triggered by severe economic hardship, and reflect a loss of public confidence that the government can improve matters. The…

ASEAN will struggle for cohesion on key issues

Location:

ASEAN

At the conclusion of the meeting, a customary statement was issued by the bloc’s chair, which this year is Vietnam. Among other points, the statement confirmed establishment of a…

Ukrainian grain exports to threaten European cohesion

Location:

UKRAINE

Support for Ukraine among its closest neighbours has been strained by the diversion of Ukrainian grain to local markets, depressing prices for domestic producers. This has been…

EU green ambitions are strongly reflected in budget

Location:

EU

Overall, some 30% of the budget will involve climate-related spending. One of the key reforms concerns the EU’s own resources mechanism to finance spending, with plans to…

Russia's Brexit gains will be political, not economic

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia, the EU and United Kingdom after Brexit.

EU-Swiss institutional framework progress will be slow

Location:

EU/SWITZERLAND

Without a dispute settlement mechanism in Swiss-EU relations, Switzerland has no legal leverage to defend its rights. Ironically, such a mechanism is the most controversial…

Saudi-Emirati relations will be tense

Location:

SAUDI ARABIA/UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

Current animosities are driven by competing economic plans and ambitions for regional leadership. Encouraged by a changing geopolitical environment, strong finances and solid…

Terms of Greece's third bailout will depress economy

Location:

GREECE

In the absence of external funding, capital controls will remain. Banks will allow depositors to withdraw up to 420 euros (456 dollars)/week at one go rather than in daily…

EU-China economic ties will become more distant

Location:

EU/CHINA

The pandemic has exposed Europe’s dependence on China for medical equipment, the vulnerability of European firms to Chinese takeovers and China’s lack of transparency in general…

Delhi’s ties with Muslim world will come under strain

Location:

INDIA

Anti-Muslim discrimination in India amid COVID-19 crisis.