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Syria’s Deraa will see chronic instability and poverty

Location:

SYRIA

This came as Damascus blamed a former rebel leader for the May 4 abduction and killing of nine policemen in the nearby town of Muzayrib. The security situation in Deraa, which…

Gold fields could be source of stability for the Sahel

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SAHEL

However, the region’s governments have not been able to take advantage of it, allowing artisanal gold fields to act as a magnet for violence and to contribute to funding armed…

Tanzania’s Islamist crackdown may store resentments

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TANZANIA

Responses to alleged Islamist activity on the Tanzania-Mozambique border.

Damascus can manage fragmented military forces

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SYRIA

President Bashar al-Assad's two principal foreign backers, Russia and Iran, support and to some extent direct sizeable forces in Syria on which Assad relies. That contributes to a…

Militancy may become chronic problem around Lake Chad

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SAHEL

Sparsely populated and usually peripheral to the surrounding countries (Cameroon, Chad, Niger and Nigeria), the Lake Chad area has been affected by the spillover of the Boko Haram…

Jordan’s stalled economy risks rising social tensions

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JORDAN

The economy faces chronic problems of low growth, joblessness and declining living standards, resulting in periodic protests. Its heavy dependence on foreign aid, especially from…

Prospects for Central Asia in 2016

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PROSPECTS 2016

Prospects for Central Asia in 2016.

Budget rethink will not placate Guatemalan public

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GUATEMALA

Protesters in Guatemala City set fire to Congress on November 21 as the unrest intensified. Faced with increasing violence, President Alejandro Giammattei agreed to withdraw the…

Burkina Faso’s Kabore will grapple with diverse crises

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BURKINA FASO

It retains the same prime minister and about half the previous members, but also features a notable addition -- former opposition leader Zephirin Diabre, who heads up a new…

Transition is unlikely to revive the Malian economy

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MALI

Mali’s economy has suffered a double blow in recent months from ECOWAS sanctions and the COVID-19 pandemic, amidst political turbulence and ongoing insecurity. The country ranks…