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German coalition tensions will intensify this year

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GERMANY

The disappointing result for the parties reflects national polling trends: all parties suffered a decline in support throughout 2022. Economic challenges and important upcoming…

EU fiscal reform will be modest at best

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EU

Member states will start to negotiate possible reform of the fiscal rules in October, aiming for agreement by March. The outcome will be vital for spending and tax policy across…

German state elections could hurt government relations

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GERMANY

Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s Social Democrats (SPD) and Finance Minister Christian Lindner’s Free Democrats (FDP) suffered significant losses. The Greens were among the main winners…

Germany’s defence shift will face immediate obstacles

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GERMANY

The changes, which shocked Scholz's coalition partners, promise a major shift in Germany's strategic posture, with more military capability and a stress on building Europe's hard…

Pressure will mount on Germany’s Scholz over missiles

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GERMANY

GERMANY: Taurus debate will intensify

German election wide open as race enters final stages

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GERMANY

The volatility of the election is underscored by the fact that first the Greens and then the CDU have led the polls since April. The election outcome will rest on the support of…

FDP setbacks increase risk of instability in Germany

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GERMANY

Voters appear to be punishing the party because it has not differentiated itself enough from its centre-left coalition partners. Following its recent electoral defeat in Lower…

Germany’s economy will struggle to grow this year

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GERMANY

GDP appears to have remained flat, quarter-on-quarter, in January-March, while there was a significant fall in industrial production in March and in investor confidence over the…

Germany may weaken the West's response over Russia

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GERMANY

A more hesitant Scholz used softer language on responses to a possible Russian invasion of Ukraine. His remarks reflect internal German divisions on taking robust action…

Germany’s coalition faces division on several fronts

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GERMANY

The three parties successfully negotiated a coalition agreement with a strong emphasis on modernising Germany’s economy. Throughout the negotiations, the parties presented a…