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End of post-1945 economic order bodes ill for growth

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The system of international institutions to promote cooperation and open trade was built on the political preferences of a group of the world's wealthiest states. Over time, the…

Rabat’s maritime sector will help geopolitical aims

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MOROCCO

Existing conditions facilitate this: the country's open economy is highly dependent on foreign trade, it enjoys access to Mediterranean and Atlantic routes and ongoing…

Shipping is vulnerable to more severe disruption ahead

Location:

INT

Shippers are being forced to take longer routes or pay higher insurance premiums, increasing costs, disrupting supply chains and absorbing the post-pandemic increase in shipping…

Americas Act seeks to recover US role in Latin America

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LATIN AMERICA/US

US concerns have been growing over China’s increasing presence in Latin America. To date various US initiatives have failed to present an alternative to China’s expanding trade…

China trade deal has pros and cons for Ecuador

Location:

ECUADOR

The deal, which was finalised under former President Guillermo Lasso (2021-23) and approved by the National Assembly in February, promises improved access to expanding Chinese…

Russia will target expanded BRICS for grain exports

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RUSSIA

The entry into BRICS of Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) -- all major importers of grain -- gives Russia an opportunity permanently to…

China set for near-5% growth amid imbalances and risks

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CHINA

Quarter-on-quarter growth accelerated to 1.6%, from 1.2% previously. A 6% year-on-year expansion in the secondary sector -- manufacturing and construction -- led the growth, while…

Putin’s visit to China reveals economic limits

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RUSSIA

Both sides vowed to coordinate their responses to what they describe as a US-led policy ‘dual containment’ directed at Moscow and Beijing, strengthening the impression of a united…

Pyongyang’s Beijing and Moscow ties will be complex

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NORTH KOREA/CHINA/RUSSIA

The PoE has since 2009 reported regularly on North Korea’s violations of UN Security Council (UNSC) sanctions. Beijing and Moscow are resisting an ineffective UN sanctions…

Turkey will reduce inflation gradually

Location:

TURKEY

Although the central bank has increased interest rates substantially since June 2023, the effects on economic activity and inflation have been limited. Prices and policy…