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Commercial property poses risks for narrow focus banks

Location:

EUROPE

Banks in larger EU states are heavily exposed to European and US CRE markets, which have further to fall in 2024. Writedowns are underway, dealing a blow to sentiment and harming…

Italy's rejection of ESM reforms will continue

Location:

EU/ITALY

Reforms to the ESM, which is the EU’s main bailout fund, were agreed by member states in 2021 but implementation has been halted by Italian opposition. The vote exposed divisions…

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

Location:

RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

Mexico candidates’ economic plans are overly ambitious

Location:

MEXICO

Their economic proposals are intended to impress voters but seem largely uncosted and risk generating unrealistic expectations of the winner. Polling points to a clear victory for…

Internationalisation of China’s renminbi will be slow

Location:

CHINA

Specifically, China would enhance infrastructural and institutional mechanisms for cross-border transfers, as well as boost the currency’s role in driving the real economy and…

Election plans carry risks for Sri Lanka’s leader

Location:

SRI LANKA

According to the constitution, the next presidential election must take place in September-October 2024, but parliamentary polls are not due until 2025. Wickremesinghe is heavily…

ICBC cyberattack will affect finance and diplomacy

Location:

INT

The attack exposed significant vulnerabilities in the global market for US Treasuries. It also signals that Chinese organisations, especially those that do business in the United…

EU and UK rules on financial trading will diverge

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Some of these rules will directly impact UK-based financial services firms enmeshed in UK markets, though the United Kingdom aspires to diverge from the common regulatory regime…

Reshuffle highlights economic concerns in Thailand

Location:

THAILAND

Pichai Chunhavajira, an experienced businessman who has held various important positions previously, was named as the new finance minister, taking over the role from the premier…

India budget shows commitment to fiscal prudence

Location:

INDIA

It is only an interim budget because a general election is set to take place soon, most likely in April-May. The budget surprised many observers because of its lack of…