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Nigeria’s conflicts will worsen communal strains

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NIGERIA

Armed conflict has spread throughout northern Nigeria while the fight against jihadists has changed in character

Congo faces a multifaceted security crisis

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CONGO-KINSHASA

The M23 rebellion has dominated headlines but is only a small part of a much larger security crisis

Iron fist may exacerbate Congo’s security challenges

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CONGO-KINSHASA

Armed violence in eastern Congo is rising, despite high-profile government efforts to curb insecurity

Peace failings to prolong conflict in rural Colombia

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COLOMBIA

Four years on from the signing of the FARC peace agreement, implementation is lagging and violence remains commonplace

South Caucasus entangled in Russian-Turkish standoff

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ARMENIA / AZERBAIJAN

Armenia and Azerbaijan, locked in frozen conflict, now find themselves part of a fast-evolving wider confrontation

High-risk Africa elections portend volatility in 2016

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AFRICA

Several polls scheduled for 2016 could become flashpoints given the confluence of political and economic risks

Syria’s complex conflicts show states have the edge

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SYRIA

A resurgent Damascus and increasingly committed foreign interventions are squeezing out non-state actors

Colombia to buck regional defence spend trends in 2018

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LATIN AMERICA

Among stagnant or falling defence spending regionwide, only Colombia has seen a marked increase

CAR’s new crisis may produce a destructive stalemate

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CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC

A new rebellion has inflamed an already fragile security and humanitarian picture

Few options for post-Soviet 'shadow governance' zones

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CIS

Attempts to win recognition have failed and annexation by 'patron states' would present large challenges