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Italy's Renzi will face critical tests before year-end

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ITALY

This is a crucial step for the government before year-end, together with long-term banking issues and slowing economic recovery. The European Commission has allowed Italy…

Central Europe may cut rates despite high inflation

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EASTERN EUROPE

Lower wholesale natural gas prices have improved balance-of-payments and fiscal positions and driven down inflation rates in Central Europe (CE). Financial markets are pricing in…

Government instability will be endemic in Nepal

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NEPAL

KP Sharma Oli’s Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist-Leninist) left the ruling coalition that was formed shortly after the November general election when it became clear that…

Moldovan government has window for reform

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MOLDOVA

A possible period of respite for Moldova.

Ukraine president's oligarch link is a vulnerability

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UKRAINE

Such statements are meant to dispel the impression that President Volodymyr Zelensky's government and circle of advisers are influenced by billionaire Ihor Kolomoisky. This…

Latvian banks face tighter scrutiny and some may merge

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LATVIA

Recent high-profile incidents have called into question the viability of the business model in large parts of Latvia’s banking sector. In February, the US Treasury accused ABLV…

Hungary must make real changes to unlock EU funds

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HUNGARY/EU

The first triggering of the EU’s rule-of-law mechanism and the possibility of losing billions of euros as Hungary teeters on the brink of recession have put the government under…

There is no easy solution to the German-ECB conflict

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EU/GERMANY

Germany-ECB tension.

Prospects for Pakistan to end-2018

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PROSPECTS H2 2018

Prospects for Pakistan in the second half of 2018.

Moldova's economic and banking crisis could grow

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MOLDOVA

Moldova's weak economy is currently embroiled in the midst of a banking crisis which has seen 1 billion dollars go missing from three of the nation's biggest banks. In total, this…