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GULF STATES: Mediation role will grow in importance
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES286428
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The PLC is deeply divided, and economic conditions are deteriorating. There is no indication of improved governance in the southern areas of Yemen that it holds, despite the…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286310
ISSN: 2633-304X
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While tensions across the region have risen sharply, Gulf and Iranian officials have engaged in regular and high-level dialogue that has so far prevented a wider conflagration…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286252
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Separately, the IN’s presence in the Arabian Sea has increased markedly since December, in response to threats associated with the fallout from the Israel-Gaza war. Defence…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285680
ISSN: 2633-304X
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These shifts were already underway before the airstrikes began in November 2023. Notably, factions within the Islamist Islah political party have publicly and privately expressed…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285212
ISSN: 2633-304X
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ISRAEL: US pressure may marginally change war plans
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES283998
ISSN: 2633-304X
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It struggled with this goal during two turbulent years that saw permanent UNSC members divided over significant conflicts. Nonetheless, the UAE was an engaged Security Council…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284917
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The conflict has created tensions between the UAE’s leaders and Arab public opinion. Over the longer term, the country’s assertive foreign policy has also drawn criticism from its…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282679
ISSN: 2633-304X
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IRAN: Tehran will prioritise outreach over oil threats
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES283502
ISSN: 2633-304X
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ISRAEL: Israel will resist international Gaza pressure