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Expert briefing
Publication date: 30 April 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The primary surplus (0.6% of GDP) was driven by a 35% real fall in primary spending, which offset a recession-induced 4.5% drop in revenues. Month-on-month inflation has also…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 6 February 2024
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MEXICO: Reform plans set out AMLO’s intended legacy
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The economic environment has been dictated by Russia’s war in Ukraine and its market and policy implications. Next year, the prospects for the V4 economies are moderately upbeat…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 October 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The SVP increased its vote share by 2.3 percentage points to 27.9%. The main losers were the Green Party and the Green Liberal Party, which collectively lost eleven seats. The…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 18 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

GREECE: 2024 budget marks further distancing from 2010
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

This is the lowest monthly widening since the start of 2023. Hungary aims to curb its 3.9% of GDP budget deficit in order to avoid being placed under the EU’s Excessive Deficit…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The demonstrations were triggered by Assad’s mid-August announcement of big fuel price increases, only partly mitigated by rises in salaries and pensions. However, they have been…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 January 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine cut the supply of major staples to the Baltic states and the Visegrad Four (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia). Local factors, such as import…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 8 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

ICELAND: Rapid growth of 2022 will abate in 2023
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Central-East European (CEE) economies grow faster than most in good times but are more vulnerable in bad times, lacking the political and financial capital and competences to…

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