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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 April 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Strong household demand, now restored to pre-war levels, mitigated the impact on GDP of falling exports last year. The consumer market is profoundly changed, with new brands from…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 April 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Parallel imports have played a crucial role in securing the supply of goods for the Russian economy. The creation and management of parallel import channels is now an important…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 April 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Chinese exports grew by 7.1% year-on-year in US dollar terms, while imports expanded by 3.5%. The trade gap narrowed to USD39.7bn in February. Export growth was buoyed by rapid…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Pronounced ruble depreciation this year attests to the efficacy of sanctions in disrupting Russia’s external trade. The weaker ruble has already provoked a spike in household…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 4 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

RUSSIA: Car market will adjust to new conditions
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

In defiance of expectations following the imposition of severe sanctions, the unemployment rate has hovered around 3.2%. Yet rather than a sign of resilience, low unemployment…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 3 July 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

This was the first acceleration after twelve consecutive declines and was driven by an 11% rise in the prices of services. The war in Ukraine has exposed Russia’s consumers to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 13 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Despite recent economic stabilisation, future growth prospects are severely limited owing to Russia’s international isolation. A prolonged war in Ukraine would threaten the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 May 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Inflation has subsided owing to base effects. War, sanctions, geopolitical isolation and economic restructuring have already undermined population living standards, with poorer…

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