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ARGENTINA: Soaring poverty will worsen absent recovery
The Massa-Milei run-off was widely expected but the result of the October 22 first round was less so, with Massa receiving 36.7% of the vote to nearly 30.0% for Milei. Much will…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282875
ISSN: 2633-304X
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With Milei now predicting six months of stagflation and up to two years to reduce inflation from triple digits, dollarisation appears to have been shelved. Instead, he seems…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283767
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Bond markets have responded positively to Milei’s victory, followed by the announcement that he would re-privatise state oil company YPF and other companies, but domestic exchange…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283523
ISSN: 2633-304X
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At the same time, private businesses have been allowed to import as never before. New privately owned shops caters to those with hard currency, but for most people the economic…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB281234
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Although pre-election spending normally militates against a sharp drop in growth in election years, there is little margin for this in a context of low reserves, spiralling…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279852
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The sharp fall came days after President Alberto Fernandez announced that he would not seek re-election, prompting rumours of an imminent devaluation that the government blames on…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278772
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Massa also extended peso debt maturities through a successful debt swap. On the political front, he was able to overcome the resistance of Vice-President Cristina Fernandez de…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB272411
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Although styled as the more 'business-friendly' candidate, Macri will face numerous challenges in making rapid macroeconomic changes, despite the need to do so. Since 2003, when…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB206839
ISSN: 2633-304X
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This is close to the ceiling of the target band of 2.25-5.25% set for this year. In response, the Central Bank last week raised its benchmark interest rate from a record low of…