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Executive summary
Publication date: 30 May 2024
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UKRAINE: Kyiv will be allowed to strike Russia

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 April 2024
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Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 March 2024
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After Ukraine’s summer counter-offensive failed to achieve any of its major objectives, Russia has regained the initiative in the ground war. It captured the frontline fortress…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 December 2023
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This is a morale booster for Kyiv, but a lengthy accession procedure, likely vetoes from pro-Russian or Ukrainian-neutral governments, and uncertainty over the war’s course will…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 2 January 2024
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Zelensky failed to convince Congress to unlock USD61bn of stalled assistance to Ukraine. As the presidential election looms, President Joe Biden will need to draw on significant…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Most eastern EU societies continue to support Ukraine in its fight for independence, back Western sanctions, the EU and NATO, and view Russia as a security threat, according to a…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 30 June 2023
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EASTERN EUROPE/US: Air forces upgrade
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

This suggests a growing disconnect within European society from the realities of the war and a decrease in the perceived threat posed by Russia. This outcome reflects heightened…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 12 July 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

NATO/UKRAINE: Kyiv will integrate into alliance

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 25 October 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The strike, followed by attacks against the BSF headquarters on September 22-23, seriously degraded Russian naval power to the advantage of Ukraine and NATO.

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