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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 September 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The other Visegrad Four (V4) countries appear more reluctant to cut their budget deficits, despite increased scrutiny from the European Commission.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 July 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The main opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP), which has benefited from economic discontent, has called for higher wages and pensions. In contrast, the government is now…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB288444

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
Turkey
ME/NAF
Topical
economy
fiscal
government
growth
opposition
pensions
prices
protest
wages
monetary
politics
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The budget deficit is increasing markedly and will probably top 6% of GDP in 2024 -- the highest level since the late 1980s -- while economic growth remains in the 2-3% range.

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB287151

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
Mexico
LA/C
Topical
economy
industry
politics
social
construction
debt
election
fiscal
government
monetary
oil
pensions
prices
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Executive summary
Publication date: 15 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

ARGENTINA: Inflation slows but recession will linger

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES287040

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
Argentina
LA/C
IMF-World Bank
Topical
economy
politics
social
fiscal
government
legislation
monetary
policy
prices
growth
health
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wages
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Islamabad now seeks a larger, longer-term bailout programme with the Fund. Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb has suggested that a staff-level agreement on such a package could…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Their economic proposals are intended to impress voters but seem largely uncosted and risk generating unrealistic expectations of the winner. Polling points to a clear victory for…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB287016

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Mexico
LA/C
Topical
economy
industry
politics
social
banking
election
fiscal
government
monetary
oil
opposition
pensions
policy
private sector
public sector
reform
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The move followed a sweeping decree issued on December 20 to reform or eliminate some 300 laws governing economic, labour and social issues, and which has already prompted…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284267

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
Argentina
LA/C
Topical
economy
politics
exchange rate
fiscal
government
legislation
monetary
opposition
pensions
policy
prices
protest
reform
regional
debt
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The new agreement envisages a primary surplus of 2% of GDP, a zero general deficit and reserves accumulation of USD10bn; it includes no new funding. However, the widening gap…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284724

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Argentina
LA/C
IMF-World Bank
Topical
economy
politics
agriculture
banking
debt
exchange rate
fiscal
foreign trade
legislation
monetary
pensions
policy
prices
reform
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Executive summary
Publication date: 31 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

KOSOVO: Stopping Serb use of dinar will prove tough
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 2 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Sri Lanka must attend to debt restructuring as part of its four-year, USD3bn bailout programme with the Fund. The Fund’s Executive Board approved the bailout in March, roughly ten…

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