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Executive summary
Publication date: 15 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

ARGENTINA: Inflation slows but recession will linger

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES287040

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 March 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The government has posted the first fiscal surplus in years, inflation has declined and foreign currency reserves have risen from USD21.0bn in mid-December to USD28.5bn. However…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285892

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The new agreement envisages a primary surplus of 2% of GDP, a zero general deficit and reserves accumulation of USD10bn; it includes no new funding. However, the widening gap…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284724

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Executive summary
Publication date: 22 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

ARGENTINA: IMF doubts will mount amid economic woes

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES285416

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Argentina
LA/C
IMF-World Bank
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

According to the constitution, the presidential contest must take place in September-October, but parliamentary elections are not due until 2025. President Ranil Wickremesinghe…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

According to the constitution, the next presidential election must take place in September-October 2024, but parliamentary polls are not due until 2025. Wickremesinghe is heavily…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Argentina in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Bond markets have responded positively to Milei’s victory, followed by the announcement that he would re-privatise state oil company YPF and other companies, but domestic exchange…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, since the August primaries his goal has shifted to winning the elections, or at reaching a run-off, prompting expansionary policies aiming to improve households’…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282141

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
Argentina
LA/C
IMF-World Bank
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debt
exchange rate
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prices
election
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Only three parties or coalitions have two slates competing, with the others each presenting a single nominee. The only competitive primary will be that of the opposition Juntos…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280135

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Argentina
LA/C
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election
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Argentina to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

Although pre-election spending normally militates against a sharp drop in growth in election years, there is little margin for this in a context of low reserves, spiralling…

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