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Expert briefing

Publication date: 8 March 2024

Eastern Europe's rate policies diverge with Czech cut

Location:: EASTERN EUROPE

The NBP is not cutting interest rates further partly because of tensions with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government, following the defeat of the nationalist Law and…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285741

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Eastern Europe

EUR

Czech Republic

Hungary

Poland

Germany

Topical

economy

politics

government

growth

monetary

policy

prices

bonds

election

exchange rate

fiscal

foreign investment

foreign trade

judicial

legislation

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 21 February 2024

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

Location:: RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285374

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

China

Europe

India

Turkey

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

social

growth

banking

bonds

capital flows

consumer

corporate

defence

employment

energy

exchange rate

finance

fiscal

foreign investment

foreign policy

foreign trade

gas

government

invasion

investment

labour

military

monetary

oil

policy

prices

private sector

productivity

property

sanctions

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 29 September 2023

Inflation in Eastern Europe will slow monetary easing

Location:: EASTERN EUROPE

The unexpected decision adds significant momentum to Central Europe’s monetary easing campaign, which began in May when Hungary’s National Bank (MNB) reduced its benchmark rate…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282310

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Eastern Europe

EUR

Czech Republic

Hungary

Poland

Germany

Topical

economy

industry

politics

growth

monetary

policy

prices

balance of payments

bonds

consumer

election

energy

exchange rate

fiscal

manufacturing

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 20 February 2023

Central Europe may cut rates despite high inflation

Location:: EASTERN EUROPE

Lower wholesale natural gas prices have improved balance-of-payments and fiscal positions and driven down inflation rates in Central Europe (CE). Financial markets are pricing in…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB276156

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Eastern Europe

EUR

Czech Republic

Hungary

Poland

Russia

Ukraine

United States

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

gas

monetary

policy

prices

balance of payments

bonds

election

exchange rate

fiscal

government

invasion

judicial

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 23 June 2023

Turkey’s policy uncertainty will worry investors

Location:: TURKEY

The limited rate hike (annual core inflation is running at 47%) has undermined foreign investors’ hopes that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s new economic team would be free to…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280020

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Turkey

ME/NAF

Topical

economy

exchange rate

foreign investment

monetary

prices

fiscal

investment

politics

policy

balance of payments

bonds

equities

government

election

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 1 February 2023

Turkey’s stock market is set to be highly volatile

Location:: TURKEY

Local investors have used Turkey’s stock market as a hedge against the country’s runaway inflation and government attempts to 'lira-ise' the economy. The market's strong…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB275691

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Turkey

ME/NAF

Topical

economy

bonds

equities

exchange rate

investment

energy

fiscal

monetary

industry

politics

election

government

oil

prices

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policy

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 3 May 2016

Monetary easing efficacy is decreasing globally

Location:: INTERNATIONAL

Efficacy of monetary policy at the zero lower bound.

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB210881

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

International

Africa

ASEAN

China

Europe

India

Japan

Latin America

Middle East

United States

Asia

Topical

economy

industry

banking

bonds

debt

exchange rate

finance

fiscal

foreign investment

foreign trade

growth

monetary

policy

government

investment

private sector

public sector

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 26 October 2020

Hungary’s monetary stance may weaken forint further

Location:: HUNGARY

Hungary’s financial and economic woes are deepening amid a second wave of COVID-19 infections, which is undermining business and consumer confidence, and threatening to derail the…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB257096

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Hungary

EUR

Germany

Topical

economy

industry

politics

social

exchange rate

health

monetary

policy

prices

balance of payments

bonds

corporate

emergency

employment

fiscal

foreign trade

growth

manufacturing

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 1 February 2016

PiS policy shift puts Polish markets under strain

Location:: POLAND

However, the unexpected downgrade of Poland by Standard & Poor's (S&P) on January 15 has focused attention on the financial and economic policy stance of the Law and Justice (PiS…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB208166

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Poland

EUR

Europe

Hungary

Topical

economy

industry

politics

banking

debt

exchange rate

government

monetary

policy

bonds

constitution

equities

fiscal

foreign investment

party

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 4 April 2016

Inflation 'solution' should help avoid Brazil default

Location:: BRAZIL

Days before this announcement, the government asked Congress to approve a primary deficit of up to 96.65 billion reais (some 1.5% of GDP) for this year. The sharp deterioration in…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB210310

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Brazil

LA/C

Topical

economy

politics

social

bonds

debt

education

exchange rate

fiscal

government

growth

health

monetary

pensions

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