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Expert briefing
Publication date: 18 March 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The government has posted the first fiscal surplus in years, inflation has declined and foreign currency reserves have risen from USD21.0bn in mid-December to USD28.5bn. However…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285892

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Argentina
LA/C
IMF-World Bank
Topical
economy
politics
social
fiscal
government
growth
legislation
opposition
policy
poverty
prices
reform
regional
welfare
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

President Javier Milei, who denounced the bill’s opponents as ‘traitors’, has said he will not bring it back to debate, at least for now. With his December emergency decree also…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 5 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The legislation’s smooth journey through Congress illustrates the pragmatic relationship Noboa has established with the legislature. This, however, will be difficult to maintain…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

President Luis Alberto Lacalle, who is not eligible for re-election, has seen his approval ratings fall somewhat over the past year although they remain positive. He hopes to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, since the August primaries his goal has shifted to winning the elections, or at reaching a run-off, prompting expansionary policies aiming to improve households’…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282141

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Argentina
LA/C
IMF-World Bank
Topical
economy
politics
debt
exchange rate
fiscal
growth
prices
election
foreign trade
government
legislation
monetary
opposition
policy
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Brazil in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

After a government change in January 2023 following a process clouded by doubts over the resilience of Brazilian democracy, key institutions have strengthened their position, and…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Argentina in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Bond markets have responded positively to Milei’s victory, followed by the announcement that he would re-privatise state oil company YPF and other companies, but domestic exchange…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Standard & Poor’s (S&P) had already raised Uruguay’s rating to BBB+, with a stable outlook, citing “prudent fiscal management”, but warning of still-high inflation. Despite…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279754

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Uruguay
LA/C
Topical
economy
politics
debt
fiscal
foreign trade
government
growth
legislation
opposition
party
pensions
reform
strike
unions
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Mexico to end-2023

Location:
PROSPECTS H2 2023

Elections are not scheduled until June 2024, but the remainder of this year will be dominated by preparation, posturing and manoeuvring. Economic growth is gaining momentum, but…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 18 September 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

ARGENTINA: Budget will not bring electoral dividends

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES282011

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Argentina
LA/C
IMF-World Bank
Topical
economy
politics
election
fiscal
government
opposition
regional
exchange rate
growth
pensions
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