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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

President Nayib Bukele is highly popular, having implemented hard-line security policies that have reduced murder rates dramatically. He was re-elected in February by a landslide…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

With Milei now predicting six months of stagflation and up to two years to reduce inflation from triple digits, dollarisation appears to have been shelved. Instead, he seems…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Argentina in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Bond markets have responded positively to Milei’s victory, followed by the announcement that he would re-privatise state oil company YPF and other companies, but domestic exchange…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

At the same time, private businesses have been allowed to import as never before. New privately owned shops caters to those with hard currency, but for most people the economic…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Argentina to end-2023

Location:
PROSPECTS H2 2023

Although pre-election spending normally militates against a sharp drop in growth in election years, there is little margin for this in a context of low reserves, spiralling…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The country’s poverty rate stood at 52.4% in 2020 according to the World Bank, a 5-percentage-point increase on the level prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. The World Bank…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB274741

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Guatemala
LA/C
Topical
economy
industry
politics
social
fiscal
foreign trade
government
growth
monetary
policy
poverty
prices
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Central-East European (CEE) economies grow faster than most in good times but are more vulnerable in bad times, lacking the political and financial capital and competences to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 November 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Argentina in 2023

Location:
PROSPECTS 2023

Prospects for Argentina in 2023.

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB273893

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Argentina
LA/C
IMF-World Bank
PROSPECTS 2023
Topical
economy
politics
social
election
fiscal
government
growth
monetary
opposition
party
policy
poverty
prices
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 September 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Given his low popularity, Bolsonaro adopted a series of measures to mitigate the effects of accelerating inflation, economic slowdown and increasing poverty. The objectives are…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB272782

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Brazil
LA/C
Topical
economy
politics
social
debt
election
fiscal
government
growth
monetary
opposition
policy
poverty
prices
welfare
transport
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The target is highly optimistic. A recent upturn in headline growth reflects improved terms of trade and better performance in export-oriented sectors, notably tourism and…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB274709

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Egypt
ME/NAF
IMF-World Bank
Topical
economy
fiscal
growth
politics
social
foreign trade
monetary
government
poverty
prices
consumer
debt
exchange rate
reform

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