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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

A key driving factor was soaring government consumption ahead of the February general election, which included the race to succeed Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo as president, won by…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The elections, resulting in a fractured mandate and marred by allegations of rigging, have increased polarisation. Separately, Pakistan’s nine-month, roughly USD3bn Stand-By…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, there are question marks over his ability to deliver on the ambitious spending cuts needed as tax collection falls in a weak economy.
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Executive summary
Publication date: 11 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

EGYPT: Markets will look beyond the elections

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 24 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Turkey in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

The municipal elections are also an opportunity for President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to solidify his rule further by winning back the cities he lost in 2019. The adoption of more…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The limited rate hike (annual core inflation is running at 47%) has undermined foreign investors’ hopes that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s new economic team would be free to…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280020

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Turkey
ME/NAF
Topical
economy
exchange rate
foreign investment
monetary
prices
fiscal
investment
politics
policy
balance of payments
bonds
equities
government
election
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 October 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The bailout’s second tranche cannot be released until the review is complete. Separately, the government is battling accusations that it is protecting individuals who helped…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Local investors have used Turkey’s stock market as a hedge against the country’s runaway inflation and government attempts to 'lira-ise' the economy. The market's strong…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB275691

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Turkey
ME/NAF
Topical
economy
bonds
equities
exchange rate
investment
energy
fiscal
monetary
industry
politics
election
government
oil
prices
foreign investment
policy
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Despite the short-term improvement in the fiscal position, the budget does not make major changes to macroeconomic policy or reverse planned tax increases. Instead, the government…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278067

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
United Kingdom
EUR
Topical
economy
politics
social
fiscal
government
investment
labour
policy
election
employment
energy
growth
immigration
monetary
population
prices
wages
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Some countries are dipping into recession, while others are likely to manage modest growth. Their various policy and real-economy responses point to different strengths and…

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