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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Record levels of defence spending have led to surging demand for inputs used to manufacture military equipment, driving up output across various sectors. However, evidence of…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for India in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Meanwhile, the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) both expect 6.5% GDP growth in the fiscal year ending March 2024, which would put the country among the top economic…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Ukraine to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

This perception can only increase. Essentially, the question is whether Ukraine will be able to make sufficient military gains in order to avoid having to fight -- with all the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 July 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Kazakhstan’s economy has weathered well the turbulences created by the war in Ukraine. A new context for the country’s traditional aspirations to balance and diversify economic…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 May 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Inflation has subsided owing to base effects. War, sanctions, geopolitical isolation and economic restructuring have already undermined population living standards, with poorer…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 16 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

RUSSIA: Tough choices loom over budget shortfalls
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 13 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Despite recent economic stabilisation, future growth prospects are severely limited owing to Russia’s international isolation. A prolonged war in Ukraine would threaten the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 January 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine cut the supply of major staples to the Baltic states and the Visegrad Four (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia). Local factors, such as import…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Central-East European (CEE) economies grow faster than most in good times but are more vulnerable in bad times, lacking the political and financial capital and competences to…

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