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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
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However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 February 2024
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Many centrist and reformist candidates have been disqualified or declined to stand. This, together with the poor state of the economy and resentment over money spent abroad on…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 May 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Inflation has subsided owing to base effects. War, sanctions, geopolitical isolation and economic restructuring have already undermined population living standards, with poorer…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 25 February 2022
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The sanctions amount to a middle-of-the-road approach: leaders agreed to keep Russia in the SWIFT payment system and avoid targeting Russian energy exports. They will not cause…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 14 March 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

TURKEY: Ukraine war will hurt Turkey’s economy
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 March 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The conflict in Ukraine is a threat to Turkey’s economy. The lira has weakened again, which will push inflation above 60%. Ankara has condemned Moscow’s invasion but is seeking…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 April 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

This has been manifested across a number of policy areas including sanctions, immigration and the export of arms. However, maintaining such unity will become more challenging as…

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