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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
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However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 February 2024
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Record levels of defence spending have led to surging demand for inputs used to manufacture military equipment, driving up output across various sectors. However, evidence of…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 December 2023
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The economic environment has been dictated by Russia’s war in Ukraine and its market and policy implications. Next year, the prospects for the V4 economies are moderately upbeat…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Development plans define what constitutes mainstream social and economic policy in Ankara. This plan lays out the intentions of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s Justice and…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for the euro-area in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

GDP contracted by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in July-September, according to updated estimates from Eurostat this month, having grown by 0.2% in the second quarter and not at all in…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283678

ISSN: 2633-304X

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PROSPECTS 2024
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 24 October 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The fall appears linked to public discontent over elevated inflation, which has clouded the country's economic outlook. Meanwhile, the government is moving slower than it…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 October 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The IMF forecast assumes UK interest rates peak at 6.0% (from 5.25% currently), and linger at 4.0-4.25% through to 2028. The IMF’s forecasts are similar to those of the Bank of…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282782

ISSN: 2633-304X

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United Kingdom
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growth
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election
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energy
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for the euro-area to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

Tourism and other customer-facing sectors are growing solidly even though above-target inflation is squeezing disposable incomes. However, strong services activity is keeping core…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279792

ISSN: 2633-304X

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EU
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PROSPECTS H2 2023
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Despite the short-term improvement in the fiscal position, the budget does not make major changes to macroeconomic policy or reverse planned tax increases. Instead, the government…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278067

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Executive summary
Publication date: 30 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

RUSSIA: Data may flatter economic prospects

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