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Executive summary
Publication date: 5 June 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

TURKEY: Erdogan may moderate his powers
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 June 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Central banks in Central-Eastern Europe (CEE) have already delivered hefty rate cuts but the ECB move might not herald further loosening. Economic recovery is tepid but inflation…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 May 2024
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There is sizeable demand for financial assets and products in Asia that exclude China. However, investor expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will not cut interest rates…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 May 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

A key driving factor was soaring government consumption ahead of the February general election, which included the race to succeed Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo as president, won by…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 March 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The completion of residential housing units reached a post-Soviet record of 110 million square metres. This strong expansion in construction activity was demand-led, stimulated by…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The elections, resulting in a fractured mandate and marred by allegations of rigging, have increased polarisation. Separately, Pakistan’s nine-month, roughly USD3bn Stand-By…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 October 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The bailout’s second tranche cannot be released until the review is complete. Separately, the government is battling accusations that it is protecting individuals who helped…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Only India and China have higher projections. Indonesia recorded GDP growth of just over 5% year-on-year in January-March, with robust consumer and government spending helping to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

GDP growth slowed to 3.3% year-on-year in the first quarter. The slowdown was mainly due to the decline in exports, with Vietnam’s top export markets -- the United States, the EU…

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