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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 December 2023
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The economy has recovered somewhat from the one-third contraction in 2022 caused by Russia's invasion. Government spending, mainly on defence, dominates but agriculture has…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 January 2024
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The IMF recently recommended structural reforms to bolster the economy, which has struggled to recover from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Brunei has long been reliant on…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 24 October 2023
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The fall appears linked to public discontent over elevated inflation, which has clouded the country's economic outlook. Meanwhile, the government is moving slower than it…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 October 2023
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The IMF forecast assumes UK interest rates peak at 6.0% (from 5.25% currently), and linger at 4.0-4.25% through to 2028. The IMF’s forecasts are similar to those of the Bank of…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282782

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Executive summary
Publication date: 21 June 2023
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UNITED KINGDOM: Rates will rise well above 5%

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES279961

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 July 2023
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Securing debt restructuring agreements is a key condition of the four-year, USD3bn Extended Fund Facility (EFF) programme which the IMF’s Executive Board approved in March…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 28 July 2023
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UKRAINE: Improving economy will let rate cuts start
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Executive summary
Publication date: 24 May 2023
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UNITED KINGDOM: High food prices complicate BoE policy

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES279301

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Executive summary
Publication date: 1 February 2023
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EU: Euro-area prices moving in right direction for ECB

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES275702

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Baltic states
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 January 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine cut the supply of major staples to the Baltic states and the Visegrad Four (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia). Local factors, such as import…

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