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Expert briefing

Publication date: 15 February 2024

ECB and Fed to delay rate cuts to sustain disinflation

Location:: EU/US

Disinflation is underway on both sides of the North Atlantic, but it is not yet deeply entrenched, giving both central banks a reason to delay cuts. The ECB must contend with…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285238

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Executive summary

Publication date: 15 December 2023

ECB rate cuts may start a little later than US cuts

Location:: EU

EU:ECB rate cuts may start a little later than US cuts

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES284058

ISSN: 2633-304X

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EUR

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Executive summary

Publication date: 5 January 2024

ECB will be cautious about cutting rates too early

Location:: EU

EU: ECB will be cautious about cutting rates too early

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES284390

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 21 December 2023

Central bank policies diverge amid political strains

Location:: INTERNATIONAL

This creates a clear contextual divide, ahead of consequential European Parliament, US and UK elections in 2024. The inability of the central banks to forecast inflation or growth…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284164

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 13 October 2023

Euro-area design flaws will curb GDP growth and reform

Location:: EU

For critics, the euro-area imposes a one-size-fits-none approach to fiscal and monetary policy. While that applies also to the United States and China, given their regional…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282644

ISSN: 2633-304X

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international relations

politics

exchange rate

fiscal

foreign policy

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Executive summary

Publication date: 28 November 2023

Euro-area seems set for a long but shallow downturn

Location:: EU

EU: Euro-area is set for a long but shallow downturn

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES283658

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Western Europe

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banking

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Executive summary

Publication date: 8 November 2023

Hopes of any rate cuts increasingly fade in the West

Location:: INTERNATIONAL

INTERNATIONAL: Hopes of any near-term rate cuts fade

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES283232

ISSN: 2633-304X

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employment

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Executive summary

Publication date: 24 October 2023

World services activity slowdown will help lower CPI

Location:: INTERNATIONAL

INTERNATIONAL: Services slowdown will help lower CPI

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES282877

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Japan

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manufacturing

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 21 September 2023

Unknowns cloud major central banks’ forward guidance

Location:: INT

The Fed insists that subsequent moves will depend on economic developments, but its forecast implies that, although not imminent, another 25-basis-point (bp) increase will happen…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282113

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Executive summary

Publication date: 31 October 2023

CPI backs ECB holding rates but no scope for stimulus

Location:: EU

EU: CPI supports rates on hold but no stimulus scope

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES283060

ISSN: 2633-304X

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