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Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 May 2024
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His Modern Revolutionary Party (PRM) did similarly well, securing its largest-ever Senate majority and taking a majority in the Chamber of Deputies. Success was built on a strong…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 3 May 2024
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POLAND: Warsaw will enhance its defence capabilities
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Executive summary
Publication date: 2 May 2024
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COLOMBIA: Rally politics raises violence risks

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES286819

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Executive summary
Publication date: 11 January 2024
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ECUADOR: Crises offer Noboa political opportunities

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Executive summary
Publication date: 23 November 2023
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ECUADOR: Inexperience could undermine new government

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES283567

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Ecuador
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 5 January 2024
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The legislation’s smooth journey through Congress illustrates the pragmatic relationship Noboa has established with the legislature. This, however, will be difficult to maintain…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 December 2023
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The legislation passed with the support of the centre-right Republican Party (LR) and far-right National Rally (NR), after President Emmanel Macron conceded multiple changes that…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284179

ISSN: 2633-304X

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France
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 November 2023
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Baerbock used the occasion to push publicly for ambitious EU reform proposals on issues such as qualified majority voting (QMV) and making representation in the European…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283384

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Germany
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, in a context of low trust and weak institutions, the move towards elections increases the risk of violence before, during and after the polls.

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283891

ISSN: 2633-304X

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South Sudan
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 24 November 2023
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Rather than serving a full term, he will complete that of his predecessor, Guillermo Lasso, who took office in 2021 but stood down early, having run into congressional gridlock…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283593

ISSN: 2633-304X

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