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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 March 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The completion of residential housing units reached a post-Soviet record of 110 million square metres. This strong expansion in construction activity was demand-led, stimulated by…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Record levels of defence spending have led to surging demand for inputs used to manufacture military equipment, driving up output across various sectors. However, evidence of…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

War, sanctions and a mutual desire to overturn US-led regional security orders have pushed Moscow and Tehran closer together. Moscow desires to turn what has historically been a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for India in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Meanwhile, the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) both expect 6.5% GDP growth in the fiscal year ending March 2024, which would put the country among the top economic…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The economy has recovered somewhat from the one-third contraction in 2022 caused by Russia's invasion. Government spending, mainly on defence, dominates but agriculture has…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 July 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The economy has been unexpectedly resilient under comprehensive economic sanctions imposed by the West. Russia could only provide limited support as its economy had to adjust to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Pronounced ruble depreciation this year attests to the efficacy of sanctions in disrupting Russia’s external trade. The weaker ruble has already provoked a spike in household…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Ukraine to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

This perception can only increase. Essentially, the question is whether Ukraine will be able to make sufficient military gains in order to avoid having to fight -- with all the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 15 August 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

At the same time, private businesses have been allowed to import as never before. New privately owned shops caters to those with hard currency, but for most people the economic…

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