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Expert briefing

Publication date: 18 April 2024

Parallel imports continue to support Russia’s economy

Location:: RUSSIA

Parallel imports have played a crucial role in securing the supply of goods for the Russian economy. The creation and management of parallel import channels is now an important…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286497

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

Caucasus

Central Asia

China

Europe

Hong Kong

Japan

South Korea

Turkey

United Arab Emirates

United States

Maldives

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

automobile

banking

computers

consumer

defence

electronics

finance

fiscal

foreign trade

government

growth

manufacturing

military

mining

policy

prices

retail

sanctions

telecommunications

textiles

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Executive summary

Publication date: 4 March 2024

Russia may struggle to cut oil supplies

Location:: RUSSIA

RUSSIA: Moscow may struggle to cut oil supplies

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES285620

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

OPEC

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

energy

fiscal

foreign policy

foreign trade

growth

oil

sanctions

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 21 February 2024

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

Location:: RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285374

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

China

Europe

India

Turkey

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

social

growth

banking

bonds

capital flows

consumer

corporate

defence

employment

energy

exchange rate

finance

fiscal

foreign investment

foreign policy

foreign trade

gas

government

invasion

investment

labour

military

monetary

oil

policy

prices

private sector

productivity

property

sanctions

war

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Executive summary

Publication date: 13 October 2023

Ukrainian economy could grow faster than expected

Location:: UKRAINE

UKRAINE: Economy could grow faster than expected

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES282652

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Ukraine

RUCIS

Russia

IMF-World Bank

Topical

economy

international relations

foreign trade

growth

prices

sanctions

war

industry

aid

capital flows

fiscal

food

invasion

retail

shipping

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 14 August 2023

Smaller trade surplus will keep ruble low this year

Location:: RUSSIA

Pronounced ruble depreciation this year attests to the efficacy of sanctions in disrupting Russia’s external trade. The weaker ruble has already provoked a spike in household…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB281176

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

China

IMF-World Bank

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

exchange rate

foreign trade

monetary

prices

sanctions

automobile

capital flows

consumer

corporate

coup

finance

fiscal

growth

labour

military

oil

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 18 July 2023

CIS economic group will help Russia weather sanctions

Location:: CIS

Chinese President Xi Jinping addressed the opening ceremony by video link, hailing the “irresistible” trend towards multipolarity and economic globalisation. The forum discussed…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280576

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

CIS

Russia

RUCIS

Armenia

Belarus

Kazakhstan

Kyrgyzstan

China

Iran

Ukraine

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

foreign trade

growth

integration

sanctions

talks

energy

fiscal

foreign policy

gas

natural resources

transport

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 12 July 2023

War in Ukraine will impel Kazakhstan to diversify

Location:: KAZAKHSTAN

Kazakhstan’s economy has weathered well the turbulences created by the war in Ukraine. A new context for the country’s traditional aspirations to balance and diversify economic…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280435

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Kazakhstan

RUCIS

Russia

China

IMF-World Bank

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

fiscal

foreign investment

foreign trade

prices

sanctions

banking

corporate

debt

gas

growth

judicial

monetary

natural resources

oil

protest

transport

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 23 June 2023

Prospects for South Africa to end-2023

Location:: PROSPECTS H2 2023

The adverse conditions that drove the rand to record lows in the second quarter of 2023 will likely persist through the remainder of the year, despite 0.4% growth in the first…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280031

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

South Africa

PROSPECTS H2 2023

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

social

debt

election

fiscal

foreign policy

foreign trade

growth

monetary

reform

sanctions

utilities

wages

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 13 June 2023

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2023

Location:: PROSPECTS H2 2023

Despite recent economic stabilisation, future growth prospects are severely limited owing to Russia’s international isolation. A prolonged war in Ukraine would threaten the…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279750

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

OPEC

Ukraine

PROSPECTS H2 2023

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

social

fiscal

growth

manufacturing

monetary

prices

balance of payments

consumer

corporate

defence

exchange rate

foreign trade

gas

investment

labour

oil

retail

sanctions

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 24 April 2023

Many factors will restrict Russia’s recovery in 2023

Location:: RUSSIA

This turnout was a far milder contraction than the many assessments made at the outset of the invasion of Ukraine of its likely impact on the Russian economy. It prompted a public…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278591

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

RUCIS

China

Europe

IMF-World Bank

Ukraine

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

foreign trade

growth

manufacturing

prices

sanctions

automobile

chemical

corporate

exchange rate

finance

fiscal

gas

labour

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monetary

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286497

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