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Expert briefing

Publication date: 2 May 2024

Russia will exploit tension but will not encourage war

Location:: RUSSIA

Russia maintains a delicate balance in the Middle East, preserving a close relationship with Shia-majority Iran and a security presence in neighbouring Syria while seeking…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286793

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

Iran

ME/NAF

RUCIS

Israel

United States

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

aerospace

arms

defence

energy

foreign investment

foreign policy

foreign trade

military

oil

security

talks

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 12 April 2024

Georgia will face serious obstacles to EU membership

Location:: GEORGIA

Georgia officially embarked on the path to EU membership along with Ukraine and Moldova shortly after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Despite Tbilisi not meeting the…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286399

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Georgia

EUR

RUCIS

Russia

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

social

border conflict

defence

foreign investment

foreign policy

foreign trade

government

human rights

integration

legislation

opposition

party

policy

talks

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 11 December 2023

Baku’s ties with the West will worsen

Location:: AZERBAIJAN

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken spoke by telephone with President Ilham Aliyev, to raise "points of concern" in "enduring" US relations with Azerbaijan, the State…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283913

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Azerbaijan

RUCIS

Armenia

United States

Georgia

Iran

Turkey

Russia

France

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

border conflict

foreign policy

talks

war

industry

aid

arms

foreign investment

foreign trade

invasion

military

refugees

security

infrastructure

legislation

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 21 November 2023

Russia will lose more influence in the South Caucasus

Location:: SOUTH CAUCASUS

Azerbaijan’s recapture of the Nagorno-Karabakh region signalled a new era in Russia’s foreign policy towards the South Caucasus. Distracted by its war in Ukraine, Moscow is no…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283494

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Caucasus

Russia

RUCIS

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

Iran

Turkey

France

United States

SOUTH CAUCASUS

Topical

economy

international relations

arms

energy

foreign investment

foreign policy

foreign trade

talks

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 30 November 2023

Russia’s influence in Central Asia will wane

Location:: CENTRAL ASIA

During his meeting with his Kazakh counterpart Kassym-Jomart Tokayev in Astana, Putin called the two countries “not just allies, but very close allies”. A month earlier, Putin had…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283709

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Central Asia

Russia

RUCIS

China

Turkey

United States

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

arms

defence

energy

foreign investment

foreign policy

foreign trade

government

invasion

military

security

talks

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 16 October 2023

China is unlikely to provide more support to Russia

Location:: RUSSIA

China has provided low-key economic support for Russia so far, but overt military support for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has not been forthcoming. Beijing has also resisted…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282676

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Russia

China

RUCIS

Ukraine

United States

Topical

economy

international relations

energy

foreign policy

foreign trade

gas

infrastructure

industry

politics

foreign investment

invasion

military

oil

sanctions

summit

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Executive summary

Publication date: 27 February 2023

Poland could take total ban on Russian pipeline crude

Location:: POLAND/RUSSIA

POLAND/RUSSIA: Poles do not rely on pipeline crude

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES276340

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Poland

Russia

Czech Republic

EUR

Ukraine

United States

POLAND/RUSSIA

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

corporate

foreign trade

oil

sanctions

transport

arms

emergency

foreign investment

foreign policy

prices

talks

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 15 September 2022

Washington will increase security efforts in Balkans

Location:: BALKANS

This follows the introduction of the Western Balkans Democracy and Prosperity Act by a bipartisan group of US senators in early August. Washington is thus planning to increase its…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB272757

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Balkans

EUR

United States

Albania

Bosnia-Hercegovina

China

Montenegro

North Macedonia

Russia

United Nations

Kosovo

Serbia

Topical

international relations

security

economy

politics

energy

foreign policy

reform

talks

corruption

election

foreign investment

foreign trade

infrastructure

integration

legislation

military

sanctions

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 14 April 2023

Baku and Tbilisi will be main threat to EU power plan

Location:: CAUCASUS

A series of Black Sea connectivity projects is a promising development for both the South Caucasus and the EU. Georgian electricity exports could play a part in reducing European…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278298

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Azerbaijan

Georgia

RUCIS

Caucasus

Armenia

China

Russia

Ukraine

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

energy

foreign investment

infrastructure

renewable energy

transport

finance

foreign policy

foreign trade

gas

government

integration

railway

sanctions

shipping

talks

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 15 June 2022

Iran-Sweden relations will be difficult to rebuild

Location:: IRAN

The arrest and conviction of Jalali, a medical doctor and researcher, raised accusations from Western states that Tehran detains foreign nationals as 'hostages' to apply political…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB270833

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Iran

Sweden

ME/NAF

United Nations

United States

Iraq

Russia

Turkey

Ukraine

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

social

foreign investment

foreign policy

foreign trade

government

regional

sanctions

talks

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nuclear weapons

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286793

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286399

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283913

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283494

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283709

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282676

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES276340

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB272757

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278298

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB270833

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